This model is a structural snapshot of 2018–2021. It is not a present-day estimate.See limitations

Rankings

The master table: twelve island states laid out across nine metrics, two composites and the Cumulative Vulnerability Index. Every cell is a 0–100 normalised score; on the metrics and the composites higher means more resilient. CVI runs the other way — higher means more externally exposed. Click any column header to sort.

Colour scale
Download CSV

Thirteen islands × nine metrics

Cell shading encodes magnitude within its own column. A missing value stays an em dash on an uncoloured cell — it is never filled in as a zero.

Data vintage: 2018-2021 (structural snapshot, not a nowcast)
Nine metrics, weighted and equal-weight composites, rank shift, Cumulative Vulnerability Index and data confidence, by island
1SingaporeSGPAsia (AIS)50.02/333.357.0100.02/3100.099.520.495.993.22/372.672.2062.189.7%·3
2BarbadosBRBCaribbean63.852.871.957.72/354.871.612.773.670.52/359.758.8046.689.7%·3
3MauritiusMUSIndian Ocean (AIS)56.671.360.637.479.662.820.470.265.858.958.3049.2100.0%
4SeychellesSYCIndian Ocean (AIS)62.641.128.555.469.82/331.268.574.170.82/354.655.8061.393.1%·2
5FijiFJIPacific46.567.057.252.051.041.055.968.934.653.052.7+146.3100.0%
6JamaicaJAMCaribbean53.474.046.62/331.146.32/350.751.065.855.452.652.7−150.389.7%·3
7Cabo VerdeCPVAtlantic (AIS)62.986.826.529.137.555.622.937.354.646.545.9050.6100.0%
8Papua New GuineaPNGPacific43.547.075.943.420.931.228.444.665.244.544.5050.796.6%·1
9MaldivesMDVIndian Ocean (AIS)54.247.518.627.154.42/313.123.160.186.841.842.8058.096.6%·1
10VanuatuVUTPacific27.554.149.148.222.424.216.147.623.335.634.7053.2100.0%
11TuvaluTUVPacific69.763.20.02/320.12/321.82/31.92/325.260.535.933.233.2051.079.3%·5
12HaitiHTICaribbean57.646.441.653.35.332.50.60.046.332.531.5042.6100.0%
Contrast caseJeju is a contrast case and is never rankedThe contrast row's cells carry the number alone — no shading, no bar. The colour scale and the bar length are defined by the twelve-island panel the contrast case is not part of, so a value above the panel maximum could only ever paint as the panel maximum.
JejuJJUEast Asia70.41/323.81/376.91/397.91/366.647%67.34/957.13/520.7%·22
Metrics and composites (magnitude)
Column minColumn max
Rank shift (polarity)
−3 · Rises under equal weightNo changeFalls under equal weight · +3
CVI (bar length · runs the other way)
Less dependentMore dependent

Rank shift: Across the whole panel the largest shift is 1 place. The tier weighting is not driving the result; the ordering comes from the score gaps themselves.

CVI: The CVI is the one column here that runs the other way: higher means more externally dependent. It is therefore kept off the resilience colour ramp and encoded as bar length instead. Sharing the ramp would paint Singapore's 62.1 — the panel's worst external exposure — exactly like a best-in-panel composite.

The default «column range» stretches each column between its own minimum and maximum. That makes the ordering inside a column legible but means colours must not be compared across columns. Switch to «absolute 0–100» when the cross-column comparison is the point.

A superscript is the coverage of the cell. It appears only when it is not 3/3 — «2/3» means two of the three base indicators behind that metric exist. On the composites the superscript is the share of weight actually carried; on the CVI it is how many of the five vulnerability channels were computable.

Contrast case

Jeju is a special self-governing province of South Korea, not a sovereign state. 22 of 28 indicators are undefined at sub-national level, and the rest inherit Korea's sovereign credit, national grid and national digital infrastructure. It scores near the top on every measure of shock-absorbing capacity — not because Jeju is resilient, but because Korea is.

How this table is computed

Each metric is the plain mean of its base indicators after they are normalised to 0–100. The weighted composite renormalises over the weights of the metrics that actually have a value, so a missing metric is dropped from the weighting rather than scored as a zero. The equal-weight composite is the plain mean of the metrics that have a value. Ranks are assigned inside the twelve-island panel only; the contrast case appears in neither ranking.

V1 Food & import supply · V2 Energy & fuel · V3 External demand · V4 Capital & external finance · V5 Trade logistics & remoteness